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2018 Playoff Predictions


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            Something I have done for well over twenty years is use computer generated power ratings to predict the outcomes of high school and college games. Over those years I have tweaked the formulas to arrive at something I think is reasonably accurate in determining which teams are the strongest in the state.

            I have been hesitant to use these ratings publicly but thought this might be a good time to see what others think of them. Below are the first round playoff games for each AHSAA classification with the computer points spread. Please these for what their intended purpose. It is simply what the computer thinks the chances are of one team to defeat another.

            The projected winner is on the left. The projected margin of victory is on the right. The AHSFHS computer ratings take into account historical scores, weighing the more recent games and seasons the most heavily. The ratings are changed as the season progresses to arrive at this week's games.

            I always welcome your input, thoughts and whether you would like to see these each week next season. Join me in the forums or my email address is at the bottom. Later I will explain in more detail about how the ratings work.


            This Week's AHSFHS Power Ratings for every team


Playoff Predictions
1A
Donoho vs. Coosa Christian  -17
Elba vs. Billingsley  -15
Lanett vs. Florala  -28
Marengo vs. Isabella  -11
Mars Hill vs. Marion County  -26
Linden vs. Millry  -30
Georgiana vs. Notasulga  -23
Pickens County vs. Cherokee  -35
South Lamar vs. Phillips Bear Creek  -36
Spring Garden vs. Decatur Heritage Christian  -16
St. Luke's vs. Francis Marion  -22
Maplesville vs. Sweet Water  -18
Falkville vs. Talladega County Central  -35
Wadley vs. Brantley  -9
Waterloo vs. Hubbertville  -5
R.A. Hubbard vs. Winterboro  -8
2A
Fyffe vs. Cleveland  -30
Cottage Hill Christian vs. Goshen  -19
Highland Home vs. Chickasaw  -31
LaFayette at Geneva County  -18
New Brockton at Leroy  -5
Ohatchee vs. Cedar Bluff  -27
North Sand Mountain at Ranburne  -10
Reeltown vs. Daleville  -8
Aliceville vs. Sheffield  -11
Luverne vs. Southern Choctaw  -4
Addison vs. Sulligent  -37
Colbert County at Tarrant  -25
Thorsby vs. Ariton  -6
Abbeville vs. Vincent  -48
Collinsville vs. Westbrook Christian  -9
Red Bay vs. Winston County  -14
3A
Geraldine vs. Holly Pond  -14
Montgomery Academy at Flomaton  -3
Piedmont vs. Clements  -40
Pike County vs. Oakman  -3
Mobile Christian vs. Pike Road  -16
Midfield vs. Pisgah  -29
Fultondale vs. Plainview  -28
Providence Christian vs. Lamar County  -20
Randolph County vs. Lauderdale County  -35
Saks at Colbert Heights  -29
Susan Moore vs. J.B. Pennington  -4
St. James vs. T.R. Miller  -18
Thomasville at Beulah  -13
Westminster Christian vs. Weaver  -18
Gordo vs. Wicksburg  -12
Winfield vs. Houston Academy  -37
4A
Deshler vs. Anniston  -12
Hokes Bluff vs. Central Florence  -16
Catholic Montgomery vs. Holtville  -10
Lincoln vs. Alabama Christian  -21
Montevallo vs. Andalusia  -1
North Jackson vs. Curry  -47
Northside vs. D.A.R.  -13
Brooks vs. Oneonta  -21
Fayette County vs. Randolph  -13
Jacksonville vs. Rogers  -10
Hillcrest Evergreen vs. Sipsey Valley  -14
Good Hope at St. John Paul II  -6
Headland vs. Talladega  -12
Handley vs. Trinity  -7
UMS-Wright vs. West Blocton  -30
American Christian vs. Williamson  -20
5A
Bibb County vs. Citronelle  -20
Central Clay County vs. Corner  -29
East Limestone vs. Boaz  -17
Demopolis vs. Faith Academy  -20
Greenville vs. Fairfield  -11
Etowah vs. Guntersville  -35
Jackson vs. Chilton County  -14
Madison Academy vs. Alexandria  -17
Mortimer Jordan vs. Dora  -26
Pleasant Grove at Beauregard  -8
Ramsay vs. Charles Henderson  -23
Russellville vs. Center Point  -6
Southside Gadsden vs. Brewer  -3
Jasper vs. Sylacauga  -18
Briarwood vs. Valley  -29
Vigor vs. Central Tuscaloosa  -40
6A
Fort Payne vs. Gardendale  -7
Athens at Homewood  -3
Hueytown vs. Eufaula  -15
Jackson-Olin vs. Decatur  -6
Clay-Chalkville vs. Mae Jemison  -43
Carver Montgomery at McAdory  -4
Muscle Shoals vs. Minor  -23
Oxford at Hazel Green  -21
Park Crossing vs. Bessemer City  -11
Hartselle vs. Pelham  -15
Pinson Valley vs. Albertville  -33
Hillcrest Tuscaloosa at Sidney Lanier  -11
Spanish Fort vs. Benjamin Russell  -22
Opelika vs. St. Paul's  -20
Saraland vs. Stanhope Elmore  -14
Wetumpka vs. Daphne  -6
7A
Central Phenix City vs. Davidson  -31
Auburn vs. Fairhope  -20
Hoover vs. Bob Jones  -26
James Clemens vs. Hewitt-Trussville  0
Austin vs. Mountain Brook  -3
McGill-Toolen vs. Prattville  -17
Theodore vs. Lee Montgomery  -11
Thompson vs. Florence  -22


David Parker
  AHSFHS.org
  dparker@ahsfhs.org





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